I’ve got a dirty little secret. It’s the same dirty secret that many of you out there have. We don’t want to admit to it of course. We’re stoic. Independent. Intrinsically motivated. But that’s a lie and we all know it.
What am I talking about?
Comparing our investment portfolios to others, of course. Well, I also have a thing for chocolate soft serve ice cream at Costco but that’s going to take many years of therapy before I can bring that out into the open. For now though, let’s focus on investment portfolio competitiveness.
There are an unlimited number of investment portfolio allocation combinations to be had. The issue is whether the one you have chosen is achieving optimal performance. If it gives the impression that it doesn’t, it leads most people to flip flop and doubt themselves creating stress and anxiety. They then get into a pattern of selling what they have, buying something else to replace what they sold. This then repeats over and over again, usually leading to underperformance of the portfolio. In many instances, people revert to holding cash or a large portion in cash which then gets eroded by inflation. Erosion through inflation then leads to reduced buying power. That leads to buying less chocolate soft serve ice cream at Costco. Oops, there I go falling off the wagon. Let’s stay focussed here people.
How have I dealt with this very real problem?
I’ve put together 13 various types of investment portfolios that I compare my own to. Like you, I follow various FIRE bloggers and other personal finance bloggers who have garnered a level of credibility over time, sharing versions of an investment portfolio and I’ve included them here. As an example, Portfolio #1 below is from the Investment Series from millennial-revolution.com while Portfolio #13 is something I’ve cobbled together based on information shared on greaterfool.ca.
Most are what you would call balanced and diversified portfolios, or B&Ds for short. A few are not. The reason is that I don’t just want to compare directly to B&Ds but also to others which are in some ways outrageously unbalanced. Over time, I’ve seen my portfolio go from the lowest quartile of performance in 2017 to now sit at the top of the top quartile for several years. To achieve that, I’ve made small, very occasional changes to my B&D portfolio. Financial markets change over time and, as a result, it does require minor changes to the portfolio as well. Again, I want to emphasize that this is very occasional.
So on that note, here are the 13 other investment portfolios that I compare to. Just below is a summary of performance. For the analytical types, a more detailed summary of each of the comparable portfolios is just below that.
A few extra comments. Dividends are deemed included when they are payable, not their ex-dividend date (ex-dividend is when the dividend is declared, not the day it actually gets paid to you in case you’re wondering). As well , while my own B&D portfolio allocation may change occasionally, the other 13 portfolios will remain static throughout (in other words, they are fully passive) and no additional funds are added through the calendar year, nor are dividends paid out reinvested. At the start of every calendar year, I will reset all the comparable portfolios to their original initial allocations. Any additional funds I may add to my own B&D portfolio from an outside source are backed out so that they don’t inflate my overall portfolio performance and everything remains an apples to apples comparison.
As you can see from the Summary Of YTD Performance (YTD is short for Year To Date), all portfolios including my own have a negative return. If I was only looking at my own portfolio in isolation, I’d probably feel cause for concern. When it’s compared to the other 13 comparable portfolios though, it holds the number two position out of 14 as of June 3, 2022. That’s pretty good. Next, look at the Data Related To Comparable Portfolios, specifically the average and mean. The difference between my own portfolio and the average comparable portfolio lags by -3.27% while the mean lags by -3.30%. Overall, I interpret that as my own portfolio significantly outperforming the pack.
So sure, I’m currently sitting negative YTD but outperforming overall. As such, should I be stressed or feel anxious? Or, should I give myself a pat on the back instead?
Based on this intentional comparison of various investment portfolios, do you agree or disagree that this a good way to reduce stress and anxiety when investing your hard earned money? Would this keep you on track towards your investment goals as it does for me?
Even more important, do you have a Costco where you are so I can get a chocolate soft serve ice cream when I’m in the area? Sigh…the struggle is real.